Macro Views
Straight Talk on the Treasury Market
Who’s buying? Who’s selling? What about the deficit? Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the dynamics and mechanics roiling the US Treasury market.
US Inflation Tracker
US Inflation Tracker highlights key indicators related to personal consumption, supply chain dynamics, housing, wage pressures and inflation expectations.
Cruel September
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz examines seasonality patterns and the rise in bond yields, oil, and the dollar that weighed on risk assets in September.
Bullwhips and the Extrapolation Effect
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains why extrapolating current market trends into the future based on the bullwhip effect may be misguided.
Macro Insights: About That Recession…
Portfolio strategists analyze macro storylines in the third quarter including growth, inflation, the strength of the US consumer, and the outlook for rates.
Recession Outlook: Going, Going, Gone
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the shifting recession narrative, labor and inflation trends, and the Fed’s pathway to a soft landing.
Market Catalysts: Made in the USA
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses potential market tailwinds, FOMO, a US capital spending boom, and prospects for a strong second half.
Midyear Outlook: Eve of Disruption?
Portfolio strategists offer their take on investor misperceptions, inflation and the Fed’s pause, market tailwinds, and tactical allocation opportunities.
Bear Market Still in Hibernation
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz offers his take on inflation, the Fed, labor trends, liquidity fears and narrow market breadth.
Shifting Winds – and Fed Pause, Not Pivot
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz provides his take on the Fed’s May meeting, corporate earnings season, and some underappreciated economic tailwinds.
Higher for How Much Longer?
Portfolio strategists offer their take on the changing macro narrative in the first quarter, the banking crisis, and prospects for a soft or hard landing.
Debt Ceiling: What Investors Need to Know
From “extraordinary measures” to the likelihood of a government shutdown – everything you need to know about the debt ceiling.